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Insightful articles and strategies for navigating change, enhancing resilience, and driving impactful decisions.

Day: March 23, 2026

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Action as Evidence: A Discipline for Strategic Analysis

Richard Martin March 23, 2026 No Comments

Most media and political analysis of strategy and campaigns gets it backwards. It starts with narratives and then looks for facts to support them, but serious strategic analysis begins with action. What states and actors actually do under constraint, at cost, and over time provides far stronger evidence than what they say. Statements can mislead, but sustained, coordinated behaviour reveals structure, intent, and direction. This short piece outlines a disciplined way to infer strategy from what is real rather than what is said.

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Planning Under Constraint: Inferring Strategy in the Iran War Through ISW Reporting

Richard Martin March 23, 2026 No Comments

War rarely looks coherent from the outside. In this piece, I analyze the US–Israel campaign against Iran through ISW reporting, not by taking statements at face value, but by reconstructing strategy from observable action. The result: a campaign that is structured, cumulative, and adaptive, operating under real political and military constraints, not chaos. If you want to understand how strategy actually unfolds in war (and why it often looks ambiguous in real time), this is for you.

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Recent articles

  • 20 May 2026 Books
    The Realism of Monsters
  • 08 Apr 2026 Geopolitics
    Managing Russia Without Breaking It – The Hidden Constraint in U.S. Strategy
  • 23 Mar 2026 Geopolitics
    Action as Evidence: A Discipline for Strategic Analysis
  • 23 Mar 2026 Geopolitics
    Planning Under Constraint: Inferring Strategy in the Iran War Through ISW Reporting
  • 20 Mar 2026 Economics
    Globalization as Exception

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Latest Articles

  • Managing Russia Without Breaking It – The Hidden Constraint in U.S. Strategy
  • Action as Evidence: A Discipline for Strategic Analysis
  • Planning Under Constraint: Inferring Strategy in the Iran War Through ISW Reporting

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