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Insightful articles and strategies for navigating change, enhancing resilience, and driving impactful decisions.

Latest articles

Investment Flows vs. Energy Realities

Richard Martin September 21, 2025 No Comments

Billions are flowing into wind and solar, but dollars don’t equal delivered energy. A dollar in fossil fuels, nuclear, or hydro buys dense, reliable power. A dollar in wind or solar buys intermittent output that needs backup, storage, and land. The real metric isn’t money spent, it’s energy delivered.

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Solar Panels Don’t Smelt Steel: Why Fossil Fuels and Nuclear Endure

Richard Martin September 17, 2025 No Comments

Civilization runs on physics, not promises. Fossil fuels and uranium dominate because they’re dense, portable, and flexible. Wind and solar are diffuse, intermittent, and tied to geography. They can support the system, but they cannot replace its foundation. If decarbonization is truly needed, the answer isn’t to dismantle what works — it’s to manage carbon and boost efficiency while keeping the fuels that built the modern world.

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Election of Trump is about to cause a major storm in China.

Judging Strategy Ex Ante: Vietnam, U.S. Grand Strategy, and the Lessons of Context (1955–1965)

Richard Martin August 29, 2025 No Comments

The Vietnam War is still argued over as either unnecessary or strategically successful, often using the very same outcomes as evidence. That shows why hindsight cannot settle the issue. Strategy has to be judged ex ante, by what leaders knew, feared, and believed at the time. Between 1955 and 1965, U.S. leaders saw Vietnam not in isolation but as part of a chain leading from Indochina to ASEAN, Indonesia, Japan, and ultimately the global order. My new essay sets out eight principles for analysing strategy in this way, using Vietnam as a case study with lessons that remain relevant today.

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Sovereign and Parasovereign Orders—Hindrance as Overlay, Action as the Ground

Richard Martin August 26, 2025 No Comments

Human life is action: people speak, trade, and associate by nature. Sovereign orders overlay hindrance through taxation, censorship, and control, while parasovereign orders preserve continuity when overreach occurs. The central tension today is between action itself and the hindrance imposed upon it.

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The Burden of Defence: From Machiavelli to Seven Samurai to Eugene Sledge

Richard Martin August 25, 2025 No Comments

From Machiavelli’s citizen militia, to Kikuchiyo’s lesson in Seven Samurai, to Eugene Sledge’s grim testimony of Okinawa, one truth endures: a land good enough to live in is also good enough to defend. Defence cannot be outsourced. It must be owned by the people themselves.

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Leadership Is Not About Being Nice

Richard Martin July 28, 2025 No Comments

Leadership today is often clouded by soft platitudes like kindness and empathy, but true leadership is not about being liked—it’s about accomplishing the mission through people. Effective leadership hinges on two core dimensions: task orientation and people orientation. To lead successfully, one must balance these aspects, ensuring clarity of purpose while engaging and connecting with the team. Leadership is a demanding role that requires strength, strategic clarity, and emotional intelligence. Discover why the essence of leadership lies in the disciplined pursuit of a mission and the people who drive it forward.

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Visually striking representation of a futuristic and dynamic landscape, embodying themes of strategic vision, proactive risk management, and the balance between uncertainty and opportunity.

Too Soon to Tell: On the Premature Concern Over LLMs and the Mind

Richard Martin July 22, 2025 No Comments

In recent weeks, concerns have surged that tools like ChatGPT may be dulling our minds and eroding critical thought. A new MIT study claims that using large language models (LLMs) correlates with reduced brain activity and impaired recall. However, these conclusions are extremely premature, based on a small sample and limited methodology. History shows us that technology often inspires anxiety, from the fears surrounding television to the written word itself. As we navigate this new landscape, it’s crucial to approach these changes with inquiry rather than alarmism. The story of LLMs and the mind is just beginning—let’s explore it together.

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Legibility and Sovereignty: The Politics of Visibility in a Parasovereign Age

Richard Martin July 17, 2025 No Comments

Sovereignty depends on legibility—the ability to make people, land, and activity visible, countable, and governable, as James C. Scott argues in Seeing Like a State. But this need to simplify and standardize produces its own resistance: parasovereign systems, both ancient and engineered, often thrive by remaining deliberately illegible. From kinship networks and mutual aid to Bitcoin and Tor, these orders do not reject rules—they redesign constraint outside the reach of centralized authority. In an age of expanding surveillance and institutional fragility, the real strategic question is no longer just who rules, but what can be seen, and by whom.

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Parasovereign Protocols and the Architecture of Voluntary Constraint

Richard Martin July 15, 2025 No Comments

In an age of escalating chokepoint control and sovereign overreach, the emergence of parasovereign protocols offers a transformative approach to agency and connection. These engineered systems of voluntary constraint redefine interaction, enabling unhindered exchange and communication without reliance on traditional authority. By prioritizing clarity, integrity, and consent, parasovereign systems invert conventional power structures, fostering a new architecture of trust. This is not merely a rejection of order; it is a demand for a different kind of order—one that empowers individuals and preserves agency. Discover how these protocols can reshape our understanding of strategic action in a contested world.

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What Is Engineered Parasovereignty?

Richard Martin July 14, 2025 No Comments

We are entering an era where sovereignty is increasingly bypassed by parasovereign protocols—systems that empower individuals to operate outside institutional control. Unlike traditional platforms, these protocols enable structured autonomy, facilitating peer-to-peer communication without permission from a sovereign authority. This shift offers a new kind of freedom, allowing individuals to reject control. Explore how these systems challenge traditional power structures and understand the trade-offs of autonomy in a world where sovereignty is becoming irrelevant.

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